Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.032298 0.038099 0.044129 0.050827 0.058022 0.065485 0.073781
2025-11-02 0.023396 0.031688 0.040873 0.051620 0.063686 0.076675 0.091585
2025-11-09 0.017281 0.026808 0.038002 0.051683 0.067577 0.085153 0.105778
2025-11-16 0.012021 0.021815 0.034081 0.049729 0.068491 0.089731 0.115120
2025-11-23 0.008215 0.017849 0.030764 0.047939 0.069127 0.093604 0.123319
2025-11-30 0.006269 0.016013 0.029840 0.048822 0.072726 0.100733 0.135090
2025-12-07 0.004872 0.014677 0.029367 0.050104 0.076678 0.108175 0.147139
2025-12-14 0.003969 0.013936 0.029587 0.052189 0.081547 0.116652 0.160354
2025-12-21 0.002941 0.012684 0.028908 0.052964 0.084690 0.122996 0.171009
2025-12-28 0.002816 0.013189 0.030846 0.057273 0.092313 0.134760 0.188088
2026-01-04 0.001689 0.011153 0.028685 0.055825 0.092477 0.137385 0.194247
2026-01-11 0.001162 0.010269 0.028228 0.056670 0.095543 0.143517 0.204558
2026-01-18 0.000644 0.009092 0.027246 0.056831 0.097858 0.148925 0.214278
2026-01-25 0.000347 0.008339 0.026911 0.057906 0.101393 0.155887 0.225938
2026-02-01 0.000112 0.007328 0.025977 0.058019 0.103595 0.161156 0.235530
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005752 0.023707 0.055952 0.102739 0.162486 0.240240
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004434 0.021653 0.054048 0.101991 0.163872 0.244954
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004003 0.021423 0.054988 0.105145 0.170215 0.255751
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003713 0.021470 0.056353 0.108879 0.177296 0.267457
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003645 0.022038 0.058568 0.113809 0.185920 0.281079
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003272 0.021782 0.059391 0.116758 0.191979 0.291516
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003741 0.023753 0.063962 0.125039 0.204951 0.310557
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002895 0.022124 0.062427 0.124609 0.206617 0.315524